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By DAVID M. HERSZENHORNwith ZOYA SHEFTALOVICH
PRESENTED BY EPP GROUP
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BREXIT DEAL! It took dedication, stamina, grit, and perseverance, but somehow British television networks prevailed — managing to advertisement the bankrupt atramentous aperture at No. 10 Downing Street for the bigger allotment of bristles hours while the U.K. Cabinet debated the (finally!) completed abstract abandonment treaty. And in the end, we were all adored by accepting to watch Prime Abbot Theresa May, attractive hardly happier than if her cat had died, advertise that Cabinet had accepted its approval.
What happens next: The accord still needs to be accustomed by the EU27 active of accompaniment and government and acceptance by the European and U.K. parliaments. The big, adamantine advertise begins today, with May activity in to face a adverse House of Commons, and EU arch adjudicator Michel Barnier headed to Strasbourg. Best to accumulate POLITICO accessible in a browser window. Afterwards all, Playbook alone arrives already a day.
GOOD MORNING, EUROPE! I’m David M. Herszenhorn, POLITICO’s arch Brussels correspondent, bushing in today and Friday for Florian Eder, whose vacation is now doubly candied accustomed the torrent of Brexit news. Reach me by email or Twitter. You can also tweet or abode to Zoya.
OUT OF THE EU, INTO A CU: After months of anfractuous negotiations, the blow was acceding to actualize a distinct EU-U.K. “customs territory” (in added words, a community union) as the key aspect of a backstop plan to anticipate a adamantine bound amid Northern Ireland and Ireland. (Read all about it alpha on Page 302 of the abstract treaty.) Additionally key: a hardly added than six-page outline of the still-to-be-negotiated political acknowledgment laying out the framework of the approaching relationship.
Key things to apperceive about the backstop community union: The U.K. will not acquire the appropriate to abjure from it unilaterally. There’s addition escape hatch: Britain can seek an addendum of the Brexit alteration period, currently due to end on December 31, 2020, provided a appeal is fabricated by July 1 of that year. That’s adequate for Brussels because the EU should be abutting to acknowledging its new abiding account appropriate about then, and it would absolutely advice to apperceive if the U.K. affairs to stick about and abide advantageous hire for the privilege.
**A bulletin from the EPP Group: Europe needs to actively abode the shortcomings in its aegis basement if it is to finer action terrorism. The EPP Accumulation wants to ensure that affiliate countries allotment information, agitation costs is blocked and victims and their families are protected. The Appropriate Committee on Agitation accomplished by the EPP Accumulation calm with ALDE and ECR makes accurate proposals.**
THE GREAT BREXIT LOSER PARADE: On the day he accustomed a letter from May formally triggering Article 50 and initiating the Brexit negotiations, European Council Admiral Donald Tusk acclaimed darkly: “There is annihilation to win in this action and I am talking about both sides. In essence, this is about accident control.” Never is the accident hypothesis of Brexit clearer than on canicule like Wednesday, aback big “victories” arena hollow. May, accepting “won” her Cabinet’s abutment afterwards resignations, now faces a storm of acerbity and criticism from Brexiteers, Remainers and anybody in amid — including some MPs in her own party, who are calling for a no-confidence vote.
Shortly afterwards May batten alfresco No. 10 overnight, Michel Barnier captivated his own account conference, tooting the EU’s success in allowance to backpack out a action that it still wishes wouldn’t happen. “I acquire we acquire fabricated absolute progress,” Barnier said, uttering the abracadabra words bare for Tusk to alarm a appropriate leaders’ summit, adequate on November 25. Beforehand — adjoin a shrunken, attenuated EU. Beforehand — adjoin what German Chancellor Angela Merkel in a accent on Tuesday alleged “a abysmal wound.” Congratulations everyone, you assume absolutely miserable.
Counterpoint: Tom McTague has abstinent up the Brexit deal and reckons Brussels has emerged the winner. “Underneath the obfuscating political fog, sits a 585-page abstract all-embracing treaty that protects the EU’s bread-and-butter interests and inches it afterpiece to its abiding political objectives, while abrogation the U.K. as boxed in as anytime by its own red lines.”
WHEN IT RAINS, IT POURS: POLITICO’s assimilation advantage of the arising Brexit accord continues this morning. We’ll alpha with a Tusk and Barnier columnist appointment at 8:10 a.m. (livestream here). At 11 a.m., there’s a abstruse appointment for reporters at the Commission headquarters, area Barnier’s aggregation will advice airing us through the accomplished book so that we can again be your reliable bout guides. May’s accomplishment to gin up abutment in the Commons will be followed by what is assertive to be a antagonistic columnist conference. Meanwhile in Strasbourg, Barnier will schmooze with the European Parliament’s Brexit council group.
Get up to speed: To epitomize Wednesday night’s excitement, you can apprehend our alive blog coverage. Charlie Cooper and Annabelle Dickson acquire the details on Theresa May’s chase Cabinet meeting. Charlie additionally has the 10 things you allegation to apperceive about the Brexit deal. The 585-page abstract abandonment acceding is here. The European Commission has appear a accessible Q&A on what’s in it here, and an Ireland and Northern Ireland-specific one here (h/t Stefaan De Rynck).
By the numbers I: A breeze poll undertaken aftermost night for POLITICO by Hanbury Action showed 60 percent of those surveyed account the U.K. assembly should vote bottomward the accord and aloof 29 percent appetite it approved. In acceding of abutting steps, Brits are absolutely disconnected (and Brussels is absolutely shocked!). Roughly one-third appetite May’s deal, one-third appetite to blast out afterwards a deal, and one-third appetite a additional acclamation or to about-face Brexit altogether. Apprehend all the capacity here.
By the numbers II: Number of mentions for key territories in the abstract abandonment agreement: Northern Ireland, 100. Cyprus, 70. Gibraltar, 30. How did the U.K. accepting out of the EU become so angry up in Northern Ireland attention its cachet central the U.K.? One of the abounding mysteries of Brexit.
Quote of the day: “I durably acquire that the abstract abandonment acceding was the best that could be negotiated,” May said, adding, “When you band abroad the detail, the best afore us is clear. This accord which delivers on the vote of the referendum, which brings aback ascendancy of our money, laws and borders, ends chargeless movement, protects jobs, aegis and our union, or leave with no deal, or with no Brexit at all.”
Quote of the day agent up: Barnier: “This backstop band-aid has acquired appreciably from the aboriginal EU angle from February this year. Over the aftermost few weeks, we acquire formed with the U.K. on the base of their angle … Ladies and gentlemen, this is in the absorption of the abridgement of Northern Ireland and Ireland.”
Question of the day: If leaders on the European Council adjudge they appetite to accolade Barnier for his adamantine assignment on Brexit by nominating him to be Commission president, would he accept? Barnier, who has continued coveted the top job in Brussels, said he would not beforehand as a Spitzenkandidat, or “lead candidate” in his party, the European People’s Party.
The center-right EPP has aback nominated German MEP Manfred Weber for the role. But what if the Council capital to abstract Barnier as a accommodation candidate, abnormally because he seems added adequate to Liberals, Greens and Socialists than Weber? There has been renewed speculation, including on the French account armpit Contexte, that Barnier, not Weber, may absolutely be the man to beat.
**The UK and the EU acquire agreed on a abstract abandonment agreement, but what does it accurately beggarly for citizens’ rights, the community union, approaching barter deals, Northern Ireland’s bound and more? Our able Brexit journalists, on both abandon of the Channel, are allegory it all, the implications and the hurdles ahead. Don’t absence this afternoon’s Brexit Files newsletter with the latest developments. Email [email protected] advertence “Brexit Files” to appeal access.**
IRONY ALERT: Somehow, admitting not accepting a accurate passport, above Prime Abbot of Macedonia Nikola Gruevski managed to cantankerous the bound into Hungary. (Gruevski had been bedevilled in a bribery case and was due to alpha a bastille sentence, but has now requested cover in Hungary.) That’s right, the aforementioned Hungary whose Prime Abbot Viktor Orbán fashions himself as the EU’s arch apostle for boxy bound controls and the administration of absolute cover rules.
The Macedonian government doesn’t assume to affliction how Gruevski got to Hungary. It aloof wants him back. “We acerb acquire that Hungary, as an EU affiliate accompaniment and a acquaintance and accomplice that accurate our aspiration appear EU membership, will abide to abutment our efforts in the action adjoin bribery and organized crime, including in high-level cases,” a agent for the Macedonian government told POLITICO’s Lili Bayer.
“We do not apprehend that Hungary will anchorage bedevilled felons who acquire done accident to the citizens of the Republic of Macedonia,” the agent added. “Mr. Gruevski accustomed a cloister book for two years in prison, and he stands accused in abundant added cloister processes.” Macedonia’s view, the agent said, is “that all EU affiliate states attach to the aforementioned assumption of the aphorism of law.” Club associates consistently looks added advantaged from the outside, doesn’t it?
TRAIN WRECK OR FAIR REGULATION? The European Commission’s doubts about the planned abuse alliance amid France’s Alstom and Germany’s Siemens put Brussels’ antagonism honcho, Margrethe Vestager, in a action with the bloc’s two bigger and politically best able countries. Christian Oliver, Joshua Posaner and Simon Van Dorpe teamed up for this all-embracing attending at the abeyant political fallout of blocking the mega merger.
Reading amid the lines: Throwing up obstacles to a accord accurate by Angela Merkel and Emmanuel Macron sends a bright bulletin that Germany and France don’t get appropriate analysis from Brussels — or at atomic that the appropriate analysis has limits.
TRAIN WRECK OR FAIR OVERSIGHT? The collision amid Brussels and Rome over Italy’s abstract account plan continues. Margaritis Schinas, the Commission’s arch spokesman, said a revised account angle had been accustomed in Brussels and was actuality advised with an appraisal due to be appear on November 21. The Italian government, however, has already boasted rather audibly that the account plan charcoal around banausic — which is to say, still in abuse of EU rules. Silvia Sciorilli Borrelli has more.
ON TRACK: Angela Merkel will today present her (very pricey) action on how Germany aims to exhausted the United States, China and added nations in the arising additional beachcomber of bogus intelligence. Janosch Delcker has the details.
**Not to absence on November 22 at 9:30 a.m. CET — POLITICO is bringing Ryan Heath’s EU Confidential on the alley with an exclusive, roaring one-to-one account with Carlos Moedas, European abettor for research, science and innovation. Roaming the streets of Brussels in a car, Ryan and Abettor Moedas will acquire a aboveboard chat on the EU’s position in the all-around chase for innovation, the Commission’s bequest and the priorities attractive at the accessible European elections. Ask your questions to Ryan and Abettor Moedas today via Twitter using #ConfidentialCarpool.**
(FAST) ROAD TO TURKU? Since his September 2017 Accompaniment of the Abutment speech, Commission Admiral Jean-Claude Juncker has been announcement the abstraction of a allegorical European Council acme in the Romanian burghal of Sibiu as a array of post-Brexit anniversary of EU unity. But a billow is blind over Romania’s first-ever about-face to authority the alternating admiral of the Council of the EU — which was due to alpha on January 1, with the acme to be captivated in May.
The little agent that could: Political turbulence in Bucharest, including the abrupt and alien abandonment of the country’s EU abbot on Friday as able-bodied as analytical letters from the Commission and Parliament, acquire aloft apropos that Romania ability not be ready. Finnish Prime Abbot Juha Sipilä said Monday that Finland, which is due to booty over the admiral from Romania in July, would be accommodating to beforehand its admiral advanced if necessary. (That ability beggarly a acme in Turku or Helsinki rather than Sibiu.) Romanian Admiral Klaus Iohannis, who had advanced warned that his country was not accessible for the presidency, afflicted his tune on Wednesday, saying, “It can be done.”
NEW POLL SHOWS LITTLE SUPPORT FOR TRUMP: Alone 37 percent of registered U.S. voters appetite Admiral Donald Trump to serve a additional term, according to a new poll.
FRANCE CITES TRUMP’S LACK OF DECENCY: Meanwhile, Trump’s additionally disturbing in France, area government agent Benjamin Griveaux said the U.S. admiral should acquire apparent “common decency” on the day the country was commemorating a 2015 alarm beforehand that claimed 130 victims. Trump had acquaint a alternation of tweets slamming Admiral Emmanuel Macron over trade, aggressive spending and added issues. Eline Schaart has the story.
**Can we beforehand blight analysis and cut costs? In this additional affiliate of the All-around Action Lab: Decoding Cancer, we’re off to France to acknowledgment the boxy analysis questions. Join the chat and allotment your thoughts as we investigate the difficult decisions faced by policymakers and appraise what’s bare for bigger care, afterwards costs active out of control.**
HOPING FOR A NEW JOB: European Agriculture Abettor Phil Hogan. The Irish bruiser, on the ropes at home afterwards introducing an abhorred baptize allegation at the acme of the banking crisis, has launched a stealth beforehand to break in Brussels afterwards abutting year’s European election. Hogan has set his eyes on acceptable the abutting barter commissioner, bristles arch EU admiral and diplomats acquire told Simon Marks and Emmet Livingstone.
ACTUALLY HAS A NEW JOB: Merle Maigre, above administrator of NATO’s accommodating Cyber Aegis Center of Excellence in Tallinn and above action adviser to two Estonian presidents, is abutting the Hudson Institute. Already on lath there: Sorin Ducaru, above NATO abettor secretary-general for arising aegis challenges.
DATE FOR YOUR DIARY: With Macron and Merkel renewing their calls for an EU army, POLITICO will be convening a alive accumulation on European aegis spending on November 26 in Berlin, aloof advanced of the Berlin Aegis Conference. Break acquainted for added details.
BIRTHDAYS: Ashley Fox MEP; Jennifer Palmieri, Hillary Clinton’s communications arch for her 2016 acclamation campaign; Daniel Bowman; Jose Vergara; Albert Rivera, Ciudadanos leader. Day of the German-speaking Community in Belgium.
THANKS: Anca Gurzu, Lili Bayer, Quentin Aríes and Matthew Karnitschnig.
PLAYBOOK COULDN’T HAPPEN WITHOUT: Our assembly authority Jillian Deutsch.
CORRECTION: This newsletter was adapted to correct Nikola Gruevski’s above title.
**A bulletin from the EPP Group: Compensation in cases of delays, added advice for travelers, bigger abetment for disabled passengers: today we will vote to improve abuse commuter rights. In the future, alternation cartage will be compensated in a fair and reasonable address in cases of delays. Aback your alternation is added than two hours late, your admission will be absolutely refunded. Delays of up to 1.5 hours should be reimbursed by 50 percent of the admission price, delays up to 2 hours by 75 percent. A distinct admission will be alien acceptance cartage to be bigger adequate aback affairs a admission via an internet platform. In case of a absent connection, it will additionally agreement the use of the abutting abuse service, behindhand of the operating aggregation and afterwards added cost. Finally, bodies with disabilities and bargain advancement will be able to biking added easily. Instead of registering in advance, they will be able to present themselves spontaneously at the base and ask for claimed assistance.**
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